SA's Mining leadership needs to grasp opportunities missed in the last commodity boom
Signs of resurgence in platinum, a stronger gold price and growing coal exports to India should be triggers for South Africa’s mining leadership to grasp the opportunities that it missed in the last commodity boom, according to consulting engineers and scientists SRK Consulting (South Africa).
“It is time for the mining sector to get some traction from the National Development Plan, Mining Operation Phakisa and the Mining Lekgotla – all crucial initiatives that have yet to be given real substance,” said Marcin Wertz, partner and head of the mining unit at SRK Consulting. “Technical, social, labour and policy issues have to be resolved urgently – so strong leadership is now vital if we want to catch the next upturn.”
Wertz said that stemming job losses was a national priority, and mines could only do this if there was better collaboration toward the common goal of economic sustainability.
“SA mines face serious technical and cultural changes if they are to survive,” said SRK partner and principal consultant Andrew van Zyl. “There is a younger generation of professionals who can do this if they are supported by a conducive and more cooperative environment, but changes in attitude are essential. We cannot keep kicking this can down the road and leaving our successors to solve the sector’s problems.”
Van Zyl cautioned that SA’s mature mining industry was not well placed to create more jobs in future; however, better-paid jobs that demanded higher-level skills and technology were on the cards as mines were forced to raise productivity.
The more likely source of future employment growth was in mining’s supply sectors, said Wertz, especially those focused outwardly at the substantial unexplored potential in other parts of Africa. He said there were already early signs of renewed interest in Africa among explorers and developers who see the value in preparing well in advance of an economic recovery.
“SA’s support sectors, from mining machinery and technology to engineering skills and local experience, have much to offer the continent,” he said, “as our local solutions today have to address not just the technical demands of mining, but broader challenges such as local economic development, empowerment and migrant labour. These are common themes throughout Africa.”
Many clients appreciate working with SA companies which have experience around the continent, according to Van Zyl, especially as projects became larger and more complex.
“These more ambitious projects require lengthy stakeholder engagement and familiarity with different regulatory and policy regimes,” he said. “Generally speaking, SA has walked many miles on a mineral journey that some African countries have yet to begin.”
Van Zyl emphasised the developmental potential of successfully exploited bulk minerals in Africa, which demanded local, national and even cross-border regional infrastructure that precious metals like gold and platinum could often do without.
“Large mines extracting commodities like iron ore or bauxite – when planned with consultation, patience and detailed investigation – can leverage public and private funding for considerable national advantage,” he said. “Public sector provision of rail lines and harbours, augmented by mine-related products and services from the private sector, leads to positive knock-on effects that ripple through the whole economy.”
Indeed, he added, the constrained financial climate provided much-needed breathing space for mining companies and governments to consider, plan and discuss ambitious mining opportunities – especially those requiring intricate contractual arrangements among many participants.
“A good pre-feasibility study, for instance, is not a costly exercise but can lead to huge savings –by helping optimise a planned operation, by facilitating meaningful negotiations with stakeholders, understanding options should the macro environment change or by preventing the wastage of much greater sums,” said Van Zyl. “But to rush the planning process opens the door to considerable risk that Africa’s struggling mining sector can ill-afford.”
Lynas revenue jumps 21% as rare earth prices jump
Australian miner Lynas Rare Earths posted a 20.6% rise in revenue in the March quarter as selling prices for the key metals it mines hit record highs amid strong demand, particularly for neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr).
NdPr is used in magnets for electric vehicles and windfarms, in consumer goods like smartphones, and in military equipment such as jet engines and missile guidance systems.
The company said it plans to maintain production at 75% however, as it seeks to continue to meet covid-19 safety protocols and grapples with shipping difficulties. Shares in Lynas fell 6.1% after the results.
“They have faced a few logistics issues, and it would be good to know when they are going to start lifting their utilisation rates a bit,” said portfolio manager Andy Forster of Argo Investments in Sydney.
“Pricing has been pretty strong although it may have peeled back a bit recently. I still think the medium, long-term outlook is pretty good for their suite of products.”
Lynas post ed revenue of A$110mn ($85.37mn) for the three months to the end of March, up from A$91.2mn a year earlier as prices soared.
It said its full product range garnered average selling prices of A$35.5/kg during the March quarter, up from $23.7 in the first half of the financial year. “While the persistence of the covid crisis, especially in Europe, calls for careful forecasts for our business ahead, we see the rare earth market recovering very quickly,” said Lynas, the world’s largest rare earths producer outside China.
Freight demand has spiked during the pandemic, while the blockage of the Suez Canal in March delayed a shipment to April.
Lynas’ output of 4,463 tonnes of rare earth oxide (REO) during the quarter was marginally lower than 4,465 tonnes from a year earlier.